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Тест за причинност по Грейнджър на Доладо-Люткепул×Тест за причинност на Грейнджър×Модел на векторна авторегресия (VAR)×
ОбластИконометрияИконометрияИконометрия
СемействоHypothesis testRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване199619692005
СъздателJuan Dolado & Helmut LütkepohlClive W. J. GrangerLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
ТипModified Wald test for Granger causality in possibly integrated or cointegrated VAR systemsTime-series predictive causality testMultivariate time-series model
Основополагащ източникDolado, J. J., & Lütkepohl, H. (1996). Making Wald tests work for cointegrated VAR systems. Econometric Reviews, 15(4), 369–386. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
Други названияDL Causality Test, Modified Wald Causality Test, Augmented VAR Causality Test, Dolado-Lütkepohl TestiGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testivector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Свързани254
РезюмеThe Dolado-Lütkepohl (DL) test, introduced by Dolado and Lütkepohl (1996), is a modified Wald procedure for testing Granger causality in vector autoregressive (VAR) systems whose variables may be integrated or cointegrated. By fitting a VAR of slightly higher order than necessary and restricting the Wald statistic to the first p lag blocks, the test recovers the standard chi-squared limiting distribution without requiring pre-testing for cointegration or transformation to error-correction form.The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: Dolado-Lütkepohl Causality · Granger Causality · VAR Model. Извлечено на 2026-06-20 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare