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| Кредитен скоринг (скоркарти, WoE/IV)× | Z-критерий на Алтман: Прогнозиране на корпоративен фалит× | XGBoost× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Област≠ | Финанси | Финанси | Машинно обучение |
| Семейство≠ | Regression model | Regression model | Machine learning |
| Година на възникване≠ | 1997 | 1968 | 2016 |
| Създател≠ | Hand & Henley; Thomas, Edelman & Crook | Edward Altman | Chen, T. & Guestrin, C. |
| Тип≠ | Supervised binary classification model | Multiple discriminant analysis scoring model | Ensemble (gradient-boosted decision trees) |
| Основополагащ източник≠ | Hand, D. J., & Henley, W. E. (1997). Statistical classification methods in consumer credit scoring: a review. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A, 160(3), 523–541. DOI ↗ | Altman, E. I. (1968). Financial ratios, discriminant analysis and the prediction of corporate bankruptcy. The Journal of Finance, 23(4), 589–609. DOI ↗ | Chen, T. & Guestrin, C. (2016). XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting System. Proceedings of the 22nd ACM SIGKDD, 785–794. DOI ↗ |
| Други названия≠ | Credit Scorecard, Application Scoring, Behavioural Scoring, Kredi Skorlama | Altman's Z-Score Model, Multiple Discriminant Analysis Bankruptcy Model, Z-Score Financial Distress Model, Altman Z-Skoru | XGBoost, extreme gradient boosting, scalable tree boosting |
| Свързани≠ | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Резюме≠ | Credit scoring is a statistical technique that estimates the probability that a borrower will default on a financial obligation. Using Weight of Evidence (WoE) binning, Information Value (IV) variable selection, and logistic regression, it converts raw applicant data into a single integer score. Formalized by Hand and Henley (1997) and elaborated by Thomas, Edelman, and Crook, the scorecard framework has become the regulatory standard for retail credit risk assessment in banking, lending, and insurance. | The Altman Z-Score is a linear discriminant model developed by Edward I. Altman in 1968 to predict corporate bankruptcy using five accounting-based financial ratios. Derived through multiple discriminant analysis on a matched sample of 66 US manufacturing firms, the model combines liquidity, profitability, leverage, solvency, and activity ratios into a single composite score that classifies firms as financially sound, distressed, or in a grey zone. | XGBoost (Extreme Gradient Boosting) is a scalable tree-boosting algorithm introduced by Tianqi Chen and Carlos Guestrin in 2016. It builds a strong predictor by adding decision trees one at a time, each correcting the errors left by the trees before it, and is a powerful prediction method widely used in competitions. |
| ScholarGateНабор от данни ↗ |
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