Сравнение на методи
Прегледайте избраните методи един до друг; редовете с разлики са откроени.
| Байесов векторна авторегресия (BVAR)× | Факторно-допълнена векторна авторегресия (FAVAR)× | Метод на най-малките квадрати (МНК)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Област | Иконометрия | Иконометрия | Иконометрия |
| Семейство | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Година на възникване≠ | 1986 | 2005 | 2019 |
| Създател≠ | Litterman (1986); Bańbura, Giannone & Reichlin (2010) | Bernanke, Boivin & Eliasz (2005); building on Stock & Watson diffusion indexes | Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares |
| Тип≠ | Bayesian multivariate time-series model | Multivariate time-series model | Linear regression |
| Основополагащ източник≠ | Litterman, R. B. (1986). Forecasting with Bayesian Vector Autoregressions—Five Years of Experience. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 4(1), 25-38. DOI ↗ | Bernanke, B. S., Boivin, J. & Eliasz, P. (2005). Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), 387-422. DOI ↗ | Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860 |
| Други названия≠ | BVAR, Bayesian vector autoregression, Minnesota prior VAR, Bayesian VAR (BVAR) | factor-augmented VAR, FAVAR model, Faktör Artırımlı VAR (FAVAR) | ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu |
| Свързани≠ | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Резюме≠ | Bayesian VAR adds Minnesota or other prior distributions to a vector autoregressive model to control over-parameterisation. Introduced by Litterman (1986) and extended to high dimensions by Bańbura, Giannone and Reichlin (2010), it outperforms classical VAR on short series and high-dimensional macroeconomic forecasts. | FAVAR is a multivariate time-series model that first compresses information from a very large set of variables into a few common factors, then includes those factors alongside the observed variables in a vector autoregression. It was introduced by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz in 2005 to study monetary policy using hundreds of macroeconomic indicators at once. | Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). |
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