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Байесов моделиране на структурни уравнения (BSEM)×Анализ на причинно-следствена медиация (естествени преки и косвени ефекти)×Регресионен дизайн с прекъсване (Regression Discontinuity Design - RDD)×
ОбластБейсови методиПричинно-следствено заключениеПричинно-следствено заключение
СемействоBayesian methodsRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване201220102008
СъздателBengt Muthén & Tihomir AsparouhovPearl (2001); general framework by Imai, Keele & Tingley (2010)Imbens & Lemieux (guide to practice); Cattaneo, Idrobo & Titiunik (practical introduction)
ТипBayesian latent variable modelCounterfactual causal decompositionQuasi-experimental causal design
Основополагащ източникMuthén, B. & Asparouhov, T. (2012). Bayesian SEM: A More Flexible Representation of Substantive Theory. Psychological Methods, 17(3), 313–335. link ↗Pearl, J. (2001). Direct and Indirect Effects. In Proceedings of the Seventeenth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI), 411-420. link ↗Imbens, G. W., & Lemieux, T. (2008). Regression Discontinuity Designs: A Guide to Practice. Journal of Econometrics, 142(2), 615-635. DOI ↗
Други названияBSEM, Bayesian latent variable model, approximate zero constraints SEM, Bayesçi Yapısal Eşitlik Modelinatural direct effect, natural indirect effect, NDE / NIE decomposition, counterfactual mediationRDD, regression discontinuity design, sharp RDD, fuzzy RDD
Свързани655
РезюмеBayesian SEM, introduced by Muthén and Asparouhov in 2012, extends classical structural equation modeling by placing prior distributions on factor loadings, path coefficients, and covariances. Instead of returning a single maximum-likelihood estimate, it uses Markov chain Monte Carlo to produce a full posterior distribution for every parameter, enabling principled uncertainty quantification in models with latent variables.Causal mediation analysis is a counterfactual framework that splits a treatment's total effect into a Natural Direct Effect (NDE) and a Natural Indirect Effect (NIE) that runs through a mediator. The modern general approach was formalised by Pearl (2001) and Imai, Keele and Tingley (2010), giving the decomposition a precise causal interpretation.Regression Discontinuity Design is a quasi-experimental method that identifies a causal effect by locally comparing units just above and just below a cutoff on a continuous assignment (running) variable. Formalised for applied work by Imbens and Lemieux (2008) and developed as a practical framework by Cattaneo, Idrobo, and Titiunik (2020), it estimates a local average treatment effect (LATE) at the threshold.
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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: Bayesian SEM · Causal Mediation Analysis · Regression Discontinuity. Извлечено на 2026-06-18 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare