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| Байесов панелен ефектен анализ× | Байесовски Диференциал-в-Диференциали× | |
|---|---|---|
| Област | Причинно-следствено заключение | Причинно-следствено заключение |
| Семейство | Regression model | Regression model |
| Година на възникване≠ | 2010s–2020s | 2015-2023 |
| Създател≠ | Developed from panel event-study literature (Sun & Abraham 2021; Freyaldenhoven et al. 2021) combined with Bayesian estimation frameworks | Li & Marchand (formal Bayesian DiD framework); Brodersen et al. (Bayesian causal inference in time series) |
| Тип≠ | Bayesian causal panel estimator | Bayesian causal inference / panel regression |
| Основополагащ източник≠ | Freyaldenhoven, S., Hansen, C., Shapiro, J. M., & Teso, E. (2021). Visualization, Identification, and Estimation in the Linear Panel Event-Study Design. NBER Working Paper No. 29170. National Bureau of Economic Research. link ↗ | Li, F., & Marchand, J. (2023). Bayesian inference for difference-in-differences. Econometrics Journal, 26(3), 509-529. link ↗ |
| Други названия | Bayesian event-study estimator, Bayesian dynamic DiD, Bayesian panel ES, Bayes event study | Bayesian DiD, Bayes DiD, Bayesian diff-in-diff, Bayesian panel causal estimator |
| Свързани≠ | 4 | 5 |
| Резюме≠ | Bayesian Panel Event Study is a causal inference design that estimates dynamic treatment effects around a datable event using panel data, replacing classical frequentist estimation with Bayesian posterior inference. It produces period-by-period effect estimates with full probability distributions, enabling principled uncertainty quantification, regularization of noisy pre-trend coefficients, and probabilistic tests of parallel trends. | Bayesian Difference-in-Differences applies Bayesian statistical inference to the classic DiD design, replacing frequentist point estimates with full posterior distributions over the treatment effect. This yields not only an estimate of the causal effect but also a coherent probability statement about its magnitude and uncertainty, making it especially useful when sample sizes are modest or informative prior knowledge is available. |
| ScholarGateНабор от данни ↗ |
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