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المحاكاة الميكروية القوية×محاكاة مونت كارلو×
المجالالمحاكاةاتخاذ القرار
العائلةProcess / pipelineMCDM
سنة النشأة1990s–2000s1949
صاحب الطريقةBriggs, A. H.; O'Brien, B. J. and others in health technology assessment literatureMetropolis, N., Ulam, S.
النوعSimulation with systematic robustness testingRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
المصدر التأسيسيO'Brien, B. J., & Briggs, A. H. (2002). Analysis of uncertainty in health care cost-effectiveness studies: an introduction to statistical issues and methods. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 11(6), 455-468. DOI ↗Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةRobust Micro-Simulation, Uncertainty-Robust Microsimulation, Probabilistic Microsimulation, Sensitivity-Enhanced Microsimulation
ذات صلة50
الملخصRobust Microsimulation combines individual-level (micro) simulation with systematic uncertainty analysis — typically probabilistic sensitivity analysis — to generate outputs that are robust to parameter uncertainty, model structure assumptions, and input variability. It is widely used in health technology assessment, public policy, and social science to produce credible, decision-relevant predictions.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Robust Microsimulation · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-15 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare