قارن الطرق

	تحليل الموثوقية الإحصائي	نماذج التدهور	انحدار وايبل البارامتري للبقاء
المجال	الموثوقية	الموثوقية	تحليل البقاء
العائلة	Regression model	Regression model	Survival analysis
سنة النشأة	1998	1998	1951
صاحب الطريقة	William Meeker & Luis Escobar	Meeker, Escobar & Lu	Waloddi Weibull
النوع	Parametric lifetime modeling	Stochastic degradation path model	Fully parametric survival regression model
المصدر التأسيسي	Meeker, W. Q., & Escobar, L. A. (1998). Statistical Methods for Reliability Data. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0-471-14328-4	Meeker, W. Q., Escobar, L. A., & Lu, C. J. (1998). Accelerated degradation tests: modeling and analysis. Technometrics, 40(2), 89–99.	Kalbfleisch, J. D. & Prentice, R. L. (2002). The Statistical Analysis of Failure Time Data (2nd ed.). Wiley.
الأسماء البديلة	Life Data Analysis, Survival Analysis (Engineering), Time-to-Failure Analysis, Güvenilirlik Analizi	Accelerated Degradation Testing, Degradation Path Models, Performance Degradation Analysis, Bozunma Modelleri	weibull aft model, weibull survival model, parametric survival regression, Weibull Regresyonu — Parametrik Hayatta Kalma
ذات صلة	3	3	4
الملخص	Statistical reliability analysis models the time-to-failure of components, systems, or products using parametric lifetime distributions fitted to observed or censored failure data. Formalized comprehensively by William Q. Meeker and Luis A. Escobar in their 1998 Wiley monograph, the framework integrates maximum likelihood estimation, censoring mechanisms, and distributional diagnostics to produce probability-of-failure curves, hazard rates, and quantile estimates that support design, warranty, and maintenance decisions.	Degradation models estimate product lifetime by tracking measurable performance characteristics—such as crack length, light output, or insulation resistance—over time rather than waiting for outright failure. Introduced in rigorous form by Meeker, Escobar, and Lu (1998), these models fit a stochastic degradation path to repeated measurements and define failure as the first time the characteristic crosses a predetermined threshold, enabling reliable lifetime inference from accelerated test data with very few or no observed failures.	Weibull regression is a fully parametric survival model, formalised by Kalbfleisch and Prentice, that assumes survival times follow a Weibull distribution. A shape parameter controls whether the hazard increases, decreases, or remains constant over time, while covariates shift the scale of the distribution to express how predictors affect survival.