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أتمتة الخلايا لسيناريوهات السياسات×ديناميكيات الأنظمة×
المجالالمحاكاةالمحاكاة
العائلةProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
سنة النشأة1979–19971961
صاحب الطريقةTobler, W. (CA foundations); Clarke, K.C. et al. (policy/urban CA scenarios)Jay W. Forrester
النوعGrid-based scenario simulationContinuous simulation / feedback modelling
المصدر التأسيسيClarke, K. C., Hoppen, S., & Gaydos, L. (1997). A self-modifying cellular automaton model of historical urbanization in the San Francisco Bay area. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 24(2), 247–261. DOI ↗Sterman, J.D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0072389159
الأسماء البديلةPSCA, CA Policy Scenario Modeling, Policy-driven CA Simulation, Scenario-based Cellular Automatastock-flow modelling, Sistem Dinamiği (Stock-Flow Modelleme), SD modelling, feedback simulation
ذات صلة53
الملخصPolicy Scenario Cellular Automata (PSCA) combines cellular automata simulation with structured scenario analysis to evaluate how alternative policy decisions reshape spatially distributed systems over time. Each scenario encodes a different set of transition rules or constraints, and the model iterates to reveal divergent spatial outcomes — enabling direct, visual comparison of policy consequences at the local and system level.System dynamics is a continuous simulation method, developed by Jay W. Forrester at MIT in 1961, that represents a complex system through stocks (accumulations), flows (rates of change), and feedback loops. By expressing these relationships as coupled ordinary differential equations, it reproduces how policies, delays, and nonlinear feedbacks drive system behaviour over time — making it a cornerstone tool in policy analysis, organisational modelling, and sustainability research.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Policy Scenario Cellular Automata · System Dynamics. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-18 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare