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نموذج تصحيح الخطأ المتجه غير الخطي (Nonlinear VECM)×اختبار حدود ARDL (اختبار حدود بيسران)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة1989–19982001
صاحب الطريقةGranger & Lee (1989); Enders & Granger (1998)Pesaran, Shin & Smith
النوعNonlinear time-series modelCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model
المصدر التأسيسيEnders, W., & Granger, C. W. J. (1998). Unit-root tests and asymmetric adjustment with an example using the term structure of interest rates. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 16(3), 304–311. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةnonlinear VECM, NVECM, threshold VECM, asymmetric VECMPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)
ذات صلة24
الملخصThe Nonlinear VECM extends the standard linear VECM by allowing the speed of adjustment toward long-run equilibrium to differ depending on the sign, magnitude, or regime of deviations from that equilibrium. It captures asymmetric or threshold-driven dynamics in cointegrated time-series systems that a standard VECM would miss.The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Nonlinear VECM · ARDL Bounds Test. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-18 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare