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المحاكاة المصغرة×محاكاة مونت كارلو×
المجالالمحاكاةاتخاذ القرار
العائلةProcess / pipelineMCDM
سنة النشأة19571949
صاحب الطريقةGuy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projectsMetropolis, N., Ulam, S.
النوعPolicy simulation / computational social scienceRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
المصدر التأسيسيO'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةMikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulation
ذات صلة50
الملخصMicrosimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Microsimulation · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-15 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare