قارن الطرق

	محاكاة الاختيار المنفصل	محاكاة مونت كارلو
المجال	المحاكاة	اتخاذ القرار
العائلة	Process / pipeline	MCDM
سنة النشأة	1974 (McFadden's Nobel-cited logit); simulation extensions throughout 1990s–2000s	1949
صاحب الطريقة	Daniel McFadden (random utility theory); Kenneth Train (simulation methods)	Metropolis, N., Ulam, S.
النوع	Discrete choice modelling with Monte Carlo simulation	Robustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
المصدر التأسيسي	Train, K.E. (2009). Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press.	Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association
الأسماء البديلة	stated preference simulation, SP simulation, revealed preference modelling, Ayrık Seçim Simülasyonu (Stated Preference / SP Simulation)	—
ذات صلة	5	0
الملخص	Discrete choice simulation is a behavioural modelling method — grounded in random utility theory formalised by Daniel McFadden in the 1970s and extended to simulation-based estimation by Kenneth Train — that estimates how individuals choose among mutually exclusive alternatives and then uses those estimated preference parameters to forecast how choice shares would shift under hypothetical policy or market scenarios. It is the dominant quantitative tool in transport demand analysis, health economics, environmental valuation, and marketing research.	MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.