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ديناميكيات النظام الحتمية×ديناميكيات الأنظمة×
المجالالمحاكاةالمحاكاة
العائلةProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
سنة النشأة19611961
صاحب الطريقةJay W. ForresterJay W. Forrester
النوعContinuous feedback-loop simulationContinuous simulation / feedback modelling
المصدر التأسيسيForrester, J. W. (1961). Industrial Dynamics. MIT Press, Cambridge, MA. ISBN: 9780262560221Sterman, J.D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0072389159
الأسماء البديلةDeterministic SD, Classical System Dynamics, Continuous Simulation SD, Forrester System Dynamicsstock-flow modelling, Sistem Dinamiği (Stock-Flow Modelleme), SD modelling, feedback simulation
ذات صلة53
الملخصDeterministic System Dynamics is the classical form of System Dynamics introduced by Jay Forrester in 1961, using fixed (non-probabilistic) ordinary differential equations to simulate stock-and-flow structures and feedback loops over time. All model parameters and relationships are specified as single-valued constants or deterministic functions, yielding a single trajectory for each simulation run. It is widely used in policy analysis, business strategy, ecology, and public health modeling.System dynamics is a continuous simulation method, developed by Jay W. Forrester at MIT in 1961, that represents a complex system through stocks (accumulations), flows (rates of change), and feedback loops. By expressing these relationships as coupled ordinary differential equations, it reproduces how policies, delays, and nonlinear feedbacks drive system behaviour over time — making it a cornerstone tool in policy analysis, organisational modelling, and sustainability research.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Deterministic System Dynamics · System Dynamics. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-15 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare