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نموذج الانحدار الذاتي الموزع غير الخطي عبر المقاطع (CS-NARDL)×الإسقاطات المحلية×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة20142005
صاحب الطريقةYongcheol Shin and colleaguesOscar Jorda
النوعAsymmetric panel modelMulti-horizon regression
المصدر التأسيسيShin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a system of nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag equations. Econometric Reviews, 33(1), 56-87. link ↗Jorda, O. (2005). Estimation and inference of impulse responses by local projections. American Economic Review, 95(1), 161-182. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةNARDL panelLP-IR, Multi-horizon regression
ذات صلة33
الملخصCS-NARDL extends the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model to panel data, capturing asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships where positive and negative changes in explanatory variables have differential effects. Introduced by Shin et al. (2014) and adapted to panels, it allows studying how cross-sectional units respond differently to positive versus negative shocks while maintaining cointegrating relationships. This approach is essential for understanding economic asymmetries in commodity markets, monetary transmission, and labor markets.Local Projections (LP) is a semi-parametric method for estimating impulse responses directly via multi-horizon regressions, bypassing VAR-model specification. Introduced by Jorda (2005), it projects outcomes h periods ahead onto current shocks and lags, producing impulse-response functions without assuming a particular lag structure or VAR order. This flexibility has made it the dominant approach in applied macroeconomics for measuring policy effects and shock transmission.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: CS-NARDL · Local Projections. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-19 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare