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توزيع الأبطاء المقطعي×نموذج الانحدار الذاتي ذي الفجوات الزمنية الموزعة المقطعي×نموذج الانحدار الذاتي الموزع غير الخطي عبر المقاطع (CS-NARDL)×الإسقاطات المحلية×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة2001200620142005
صاحب الطريقةPesaran, Shin, and SmithPesaran and colleaguesYongcheol Shin and colleaguesOscar Jorda
النوعDistributed lag modelDynamic panel modelAsymmetric panel modelMulti-horizon regression
المصدر التأسيسيPesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships and dynamics. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., & Smith, R. (2016). Testing weak cross-sectional dependence in large panels. Econometric Reviews, 34(6-10), 1089-1117. link ↗Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a system of nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag equations. Econometric Reviews, 33(1), 56-87. link ↗Jorda, O. (2005). Estimation and inference of impulse responses by local projections. American Economic Review, 95(1), 161-182. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةPanel distributed lag modelPanel ARDL with cross-sectional dependenceNARDL panelLP-IR, Multi-horizon regression
ذات صلة3333
الملخصCS-DL (Cross-Sectional Distributed Lag) is a simplified dynamic panel model regressing outcomes on current and lagged explanatory variables without explicit autoregressive terms, while accounting for cross-sectional dependence. Built on Pesaran et al. (2001) and extended by Chudik et al. (2014), it estimates dynamic effects more parsimoniously than ARDL when autocorrelated lags are less critical. This approach is valuable for short-horizon effects and policy impact analysis.CS-ARDL (Cross-Sectional ARDL) applies the ARDL framework to panel data while explicitly accounting for cross-sectional dependence—correlation of shocks and relationships across units (countries, firms, regions). Introduced by Pesaran and colleagues (2016), it extends panel ARDL methods to handle common factors or global shocks affecting all units simultaneously. This is crucial for realistic modeling of internationally integrated economies and firm networks.CS-NARDL extends the nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model to panel data, capturing asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships where positive and negative changes in explanatory variables have differential effects. Introduced by Shin et al. (2014) and adapted to panels, it allows studying how cross-sectional units respond differently to positive versus negative shocks while maintaining cointegrating relationships. This approach is essential for understanding economic asymmetries in commodity markets, monetary transmission, and labor markets.Local Projections (LP) is a semi-parametric method for estimating impulse responses directly via multi-horizon regressions, bypassing VAR-model specification. Introduced by Jorda (2005), it projects outcomes h periods ahead onto current shocks and lags, producing impulse-response functions without assuming a particular lag structure or VAR order. This flexibility has made it the dominant approach in applied macroeconomics for measuring policy effects and shock transmission.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: CS-DL · CS-ARDL · CS-NARDL · Local Projections. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-19 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare