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التحليل التشاركي (Conjoint Analysis)×المحاكاة المصغرة×نموذج اللوجيت المختلط×محاكاة مونت كارلو×
المجالالتصميم التجريبيالمحاكاةالاقتصاد القياسياتخاذ القرار
العائلةHypothesis testProcess / pipelineRegression modelMCDM
سنة النشأة1978195720001949
صاحب الطريقةPaul E. Green & V. SrinivasanGuy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projectsDaniel McFadden & Kenneth TrainMetropolis, N., Ulam, S.
النوعDecomposition-based utility estimationPolicy simulation / computational social scienceRandom-parameters discrete choice modelRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
المصدر التأسيسيGreen, P.E. & Srinivasan, V. (1978). Conjoint analysis in consumer research: Issues and outlook. Journal of Consumer Research, 5(2), 103–123. DOI ↗O'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗Train, K. E. (2009). Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation (2nd ed.). Cambridge University Press. ISBN: 978-0-521-74738-7Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةCBC conjoint, choice-based conjoint, adaptive conjoint analysis, full-profile conjointMikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulationRandom Parameters Logit, Mixed Multinomial Logit, Error Components Logit, Karma Logit Modeli
ذات صلة6530
الملخصConjoint analysis is a preference-measurement technique that decomposes overall product evaluations into the separate utility values — called part-worths — that respondents assign to each attribute level. Formalised by Green and Srinivasan in their seminal 1978 Journal of Consumer Research paper, the method has become the dominant tool in marketing research and product design for quantifying what buyers truly trade off when they choose between options.Microsimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation.The Mixed Logit model, introduced formally by McFadden and Train (2000) and elaborated in Train (2009), is a flexible discrete choice framework that allows preference parameters to vary randomly across decision-makers. By integrating standard logit probabilities over a mixing distribution of coefficients, it overcomes the restrictive independence of irrelevant alternatives (IIA) property and accommodates unobserved taste heterogeneity, panel data correlation, and complex substitution patterns across alternatives.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Conjoint Analysis · Microsimulation · Mixed Logit · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-18 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare