قارن الطرق

	متوسط النماذج البيزية	التعزيز
المجال	بايزي	تعلم الآلة
العائلة	Bayesian methods	Machine learning
سنة النشأة	1999	1990–1997
صاحب الطريقة	Hoeting, Madigan, Raftery & Volinsky	Schapire, R. E.; Freund, Y.
النوع	Bayesian model averaging	Sequential ensemble (iterative reweighting)
المصدر التأسيسي	Hoeting, J. A., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E. & Volinsky, C. T. (1999). Bayesian Model Averaging: A Tutorial. Statistical Science, 14(4), 382–401.	Freund, Y. & Schapire, R. E. (1997). A decision-theoretic generalization of on-line learning and an application to boosting. Journal of Computer and System Sciences, 55(1), 119–139.
الأسماء البديلة	BMA, Bayesian model combination, Bayesian Model Ortalaması (BMA)	AdaBoost, gradient boosting, iterative reweighting ensemble, sequential ensemble
ذات صلة	5	6
الملخص	Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), formalised as a tutorial by Hoeting, Madigan, Raftery and Volinsky in 1999, addresses model uncertainty by averaging over all plausible model specifications rather than selecting a single best model. Each candidate model receives a posterior probability that reflects how well it fits the data given a prior, and predictions or coefficient estimates are formed as weighted averages across the entire model space. This approach reduces the bias and overconfidence that arise when a single selected model is treated as the true one.	Boosting is a sequential ensemble technique that converts many simple, barely-better-than-chance learners into a single highly accurate model by repeatedly focusing training on the examples that previous learners got wrong, then combining all learners with weights proportional to their individual accuracy.