Bayesian Event Study Design
Bayesian Event Study Design extends the classical event study framework by replacing frequentist significance testing with a full Bayesian inferential framework. It estimates how an event (policy change, announcement, shock) alters an outcome trajectory by learning a prior model from the estimation window and updating it with observed data, yielding posterior distributions over abnormal effects and cumulative causal impacts with full uncertainty quantification.
Rekodi ya chanzo
Nukuu zimehamishwa kwa uhalisi kutoka kwa rekodi ya chanzo cha mbinu. Hakuna uthibitisho wa kiwango cha dai unaodokezwa kutoka kwao.
- Sorescu, A., Warren, N. L., & Ertekin, L. (2017). Event study methodology in the marketing literature: An overview. Journal of the Academy of Marketing Science, 45(2), 186-207. · DOI 10.1007/s11747-017-0516-y
- Glassman, M., & McAfee, R. B. (1996). Bayesian estimation of abnormal stock returns. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(3), 321-332. · URL
Madai yaliyotunzwa
Madai yamehifadhiwa katika daftari la ushahidi, kila moja ikiwa na tathmini yake.
Mwonekano huu haubuni tathmini ya dai wakati daftari haina yoyote.
Mbinu zinazohusiana
Zilizotengenezwa kutoka kwa grafu ya mbinu na kuonyeshwa kama uhusiano uliopendekezwa na mashine — hakuna dai la ushahidi linalodokezwa.