Real-Time Delphi
Real-Time Delphi is a roundless, asynchronous, computer-mediated reinvention of the classic Delphi method, developed by Theodore Gordon and Adam Pease in 2006. Where conventional Delphi proceeds through discrete questionnaire rounds — collect, aggregate, redistribute, repeat — Real-Time Delphi collapses the rounds entirely: experts log in to an online platform whenever they choose, see the panel's current aggregate estimates and the rationales behind them, and revise their own answers continuously, with the aggregate updating live as they do. This always-on feedback architecture preserves the core Delphi virtues of anonymity and structured feedback while removing the long delays, fixed schedules, and administrative burden of round-based administration. As described by Gordon and Pease and catalogued in the Millennium Project's Futures Research Methodology, the method makes large, distributed, and time-pressured expert elicitations practical, letting a panel converge through continuous interaction rather than through a rigid sequence of rounds.
Изворни запис
Цитирани радови су копирани дословно из изворног записа методе. Из њих се не изводи верификација на нивоу тврдње.
- Gordon, T., & Pease, A. (2006). RT Delphi: An efficient, round-less almost real time Delphi method. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 73(4), 321-333. · DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2005.09.005
- Glenn, J. C., & Gordon, T. J. (Eds.). (2009). Futures Research Methodology, Version 3.0. The Millennium Project. · ISBN 9780981894119
Куроване тврдње
Тврдње су сачуване у регистру доказа, свака са својом проценом.
Овај приказ не измишља процену тврдње када регистар нема ниједну.
Сродне методе
Генерисано из графа метода и приказано као машински предложене везе — не изводи се тврдња доказа.