Emerging Issues Analysis
Emerging Issues Analysis (EIA) is a horizon-scanning method, associated with Graham Molitor and the Hawai'i School and codified in the Millennium Project's Futures Research Methodology, for detecting issues at the earliest, weakest-signal stage — long before they register as trends or reach public consciousness. Its organizing idea is that issues, like technologies, follow an S-curve of public attention: they begin in obscure, marginal sources, accelerate as advocates and specialists pick them up, and only later become widely recognized trends and finally mainstream concerns. The strategic value of catching an issue on the flat, early part of that curve is enormous, because that is when there is the most time and the most room to respond. EIA therefore deliberately scans the fringe — specialist literature, activist publications, patents, subcultures, marginal voices — to spot the small clouds on the horizon and position them on the issue lifecycle.
Regjistri burimor
Citimet kopjuar fjalë për fjalë nga regjistri burimor i metodës. Asnjë verifikim në nivel pretendimi nuk nënkuptohet prej tyre.
- Glenn, J. C., & Gordon, T. J. (Eds.). (2009). Futures Research Methodology, Version 3.0. The Millennium Project. · ISBN 9780981894119
Pretendime të kuruaruara
Pretendimet e ruajtura në librin e dëshmive, secili me vlerësimin e vet.
Ky pamje nuk shpik një vlerësim pretendimi kur libri i dëshmive nuk ka asnjë.
Metoda të lidhura
Të gjeneruara nga grafiku metodologjik dhe të paraqitura si marrëdhënie të sugjeruara nga makina — asnjë pretendim dëshmie nuk nënkuptohet.