Metodebevisregister

Natural Experiment in Politics

A natural experiment in political science exploits a naturally occurring source of as-if random assignment — close elections, lotteries, arbitrary boundaries, or policy thresholds — to identify causal effects without the researcher manipulating anything. Codified for the social sciences by Thad Dunning's 2012 design-based treatment and exemplified by David Lee's close-election regression-discontinuity analysis of U.S. House races, the approach treats nature, institutions, or chance as if they had run an experiment, recovering credible causal estimates from observational data when randomization is impossible.

Sources recorded, not reviewed

Kilderegister

Siteringer kopiert ordrett fra metodens kilderegister. Ingen påstandsnivåverifisering er underforstått fra dem.

Natural Experiment in Political Science (As-If Random Assignment)

Taksonomisk metoderegister · process-pipeline / political-science

Dunning, T. (2012). Natural Experiments in the Social Sciences: A Design-Based Approach. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. · ISBN 9781107698000
Lee, D. S. (2008). Randomized experiments from non-random selection in U.S. House elections. Journal of Econometrics, 142(2), 675–697. · DOI 10.1016/j.jeconom.2007.05.004

Åpne full metode

Kuraterte påstander

Påstander lagret i bevishovedboken, hver med sin egen vurdering.

Ingen kuraterte påstander ennå

Denne visningen finner ikke opp en påstandsvurdering når hovedboken ikke har noen.

Relaterte metoder

Generert fra metodegrafen og vist som maskinforslåtte relasjoner – ingen bevispåstand er underforstått.

Same method familyDifference-in-Means Estimatormachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyField Experiment in Politicsmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyNatural Experimentmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyRegression Discontinuity in Electionsmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.