Bayesian Random Forest
Bayesian Random Forest extends the classical random forest by placing a prior distribution over tree structures and leaf parameters, then sampling or approximating the posterior over that ensemble. The result is a set of predictions accompanied by calibrated uncertainty estimates — a capability standard random forests lack — making it valuable when knowing how confident the model is matters as much as the prediction itself.
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- Taddy, M., Chen, C., Yu, J., & Wyle, M. (2015). Bayesian and Empirical Bayesian Forests. Proceedings of the 32nd International Conference on Machine Learning (ICML 2015), PMLR 37, 967–976. · URL
- Lakshminarayanan, B., Roy, D. M., & Teh, Y. W. (2016). Mondrian Forests for Large-Scale Regression when Uncertainty Matters. Proceedings of the 19th International Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Statistics (AISTATS 2016), PMLR 51, 1478–1487. · URL
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