Dempster-Shafer Fusion

Dempster-Shafer fusion is an ensemble method based on evidence theory (belief functions) that combines predictions from multiple sources by assigning basic probability masses to subsets of hypotheses. Rather than requiring a probability distribution over single outcomes, it allows uncertainty over sets of outcomes, providing a richer representation of confidence and doubt. Developed by Dempster (1968) and formalized by Shafer (1976), this method is particularly useful when sources are unreliable, conflicting, or provide partial evidence.