Dossier de preuve de méthode

Three Horizons Framework

The Three Horizons framework is a structured way of thinking about transformative change by mapping three overlapping curves of activity across time. Developed within the International Futures Forum and given its definitive articulation by Bill Sharpe, Anthony Hodgson, Graham Leicester and colleagues in their 2016 Ecology and Society paper, it distinguishes the first horizon (H1), the dominant present system that is declining in its fit with a changing world; the third horizon (H3), an emerging and viable future pattern that is currently marginal but growing; and the second horizon (H2), the turbulent zone of transition in which entrepreneurial innovations and experiments compete, some carrying the system toward H3 and others merely propping up H1. Rather than predicting a single future, the framework is a pathways practice that helps groups see the present as a contested landscape of patterns and locate their own intentions and actions within it.

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Three Horizons Framework (A Pathways Practice for Transformation)

Dossier de méthode taxonomique · process-pipeline / futures-foresight-studies

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Same method familyCausal Layered Analysismachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyManoa Alternative Futures Methodmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyVisioning Preferred Futures Workshopmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.