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Technology Delphi

The technology Delphi is a large-scale, multi-round expert survey used to forecast the timing, importance, and feasibility of future technological developments. Built on the classic Delphi principles of anonymity, iteration, controlled feedback, and statistical aggregation, it elicits judgements from hundreds or thousands of experts on a structured list of technology statements and converges them, round by round, into a collective forecast that informs national and organisational science and technology priorities.

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Delphi Method for Technology Foresight (Large-Scale Technology Delphi)

Taksonoomiline meetodikirje · process-pipeline / science-technology-studies

Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (Eds.). (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Addison-Wesley. · ISBN 9780201042948
Cuhls, K. (2003). From forecasting to foresight processes—new participative foresight activities in Germany. Journal of Forecasting, 22(2-3), 93-111. · DOI 10.1002/for.848

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Same method familyForesight Scenario Methodmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyHorizon Scanningmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyTechnology Foresightmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyTechnology Roadmappingmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.