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Χρονικά Μεταβαλλόμενη Αιτιότητα Granger×Διανυσματική Αυτοπαλίνδρομη Ανάλυση Δομής (SVAR)×
ΠεδίοΟικονομετρίαΟικονομετρία
ΟικογένειαRegression modelRegression model
Έτος προέλευσης1969 (Granger); TVP extension ~20051980
ΔημιουργόςC.W.J. Granger (causality concept); TVP extension developed by Primiceri (2005) and subsequent literatureSims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)
ΤύποςCausality test / time-varying modelMultivariate time series model
Θεμελιώδης πηγήGranger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗
Εναλλακτικές ονομασίεςTVP Granger causality, rolling-window Granger causality, time-varying Granger test, dynamic Granger causalitySVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model
Συναφείς45
ΣύνοψηTime-varying parameter Granger causality extends the classical Granger causality framework by allowing the predictive relationships between time series to evolve across time. Instead of assuming fixed causal effects, the model estimates causal coefficients that can shift, capturing structural breaks, regime changes, or gradual evolution in economic or financial relationships.Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.
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ScholarGateΣύγκριση μεθόδων: Time-varying parameter Granger causality · Structural VAR. Ανακτήθηκε στις 2026-06-17 από https://scholargate.app/el/compare