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Δυναμική Συστημάτων×Διακριτή Προσομοίωση Γεγονότων (DES)×Δειγματοληψία Υπερ-κύβου Λατίνου×Προσομοίωση Monte Carlo×
ΠεδίοΠροσομοίωσηΠροσομοίωσηΠροσομοίωσηΛήψη Αποφάσεων
ΟικογένειαProcess / pipelineProcess / pipelineProcess / pipelineMCDM
Έτος προέλευσης19611960s (formalized); modern computational form from 1970s onward19791949
ΔημιουργόςJay W. ForresterBanks, Carson, Nelson & Nicol (textbook lineage); foundational work by Tocher & Conway (1960s)Metropolis, N., Ulam, S.
ΤύποςContinuous simulation / feedback modellingStochastic process simulationStratified space-filling sampling designRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
Θεμελιώδης πηγήSterman, J.D. (2000). Business Dynamics: Systems Thinking and Modeling for a Complex World. Irwin McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0072389159Banks, J., Carson, J.S., Nelson, B.L. & Nicol, D.M. (2010). Discrete-Event System Simulation (5th ed.). Pearson. ISBN: 978-0136062127McKay, M.D., Beckman, R.J. & Conover, W.J. (1979). A Comparison of Three Methods for Selecting Values of Input Variables in the Analysis of Output from a Computer Code. Technometrics, 21(2), 239-245. DOI ↗Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
Εναλλακτικές ονομασίεςstock-flow modelling, Sistem Dinamiği (Stock-Flow Modelleme), SD modelling, feedback simulationDES, event-driven simulation, Ayrık Olay Simülasyonu (DES)LHS, Latin Hiperküp Örnekleme (LHS) ve Duyarlılık Analizi, stratified sampling design, space-filling design
Συναφείς3440
ΣύνοψηSystem dynamics is a continuous simulation method, developed by Jay W. Forrester at MIT in 1961, that represents a complex system through stocks (accumulations), flows (rates of change), and feedback loops. By expressing these relationships as coupled ordinary differential equations, it reproduces how policies, delays, and nonlinear feedbacks drive system behaviour over time — making it a cornerstone tool in policy analysis, organisational modelling, and sustainability research.Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) is a computational modeling paradigm in which the state of a system changes only at a countable sequence of points in time — the events. Between events nothing changes, so the simulation clock jumps directly from one event to the next. Formalized through the foundational textbooks of Banks, Carson, Nelson and Nicol and of Law in the 1960s–2000s, DES has become the standard tool for analyzing queuing systems, healthcare patient flows, manufacturing lines, and logistics networks where entities move through resources over time.Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) is a stratified space-filling design for computer experiments, introduced by McKay, Beckman, and Conover in 1979. It divides each input variable's range into equally probable strata and draws exactly one sample per stratum, ensuring that the full input space is covered with far fewer model evaluations than standard Monte Carlo simulation requires. It is routinely paired with global sensitivity analysis — particularly Sobol indices — to quantify how much each input drives output variability.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGateΣύγκριση μεθόδων: System Dynamics · Discrete-Event Simulation · Latin Hypercube Sampling · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. Ανακτήθηκε στις 2026-06-17 από https://scholargate.app/el/compare