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| Σχεδιασμός Ex Post Facto με Υποβοήθηση Προσομοίωσης× | Προσομοίωση Monte Carlo× | |
|---|---|---|
| Πεδίο≠ | Ερευνητικός Σχεδιασμός | Λήψη Αποφάσεων |
| Οικογένεια≠ | Process / pipeline | MCDM |
| Έτος προέλευσης≠ | Ex post facto: 1964; simulation-assisted hybrid: 1990s–2000s | 1949 |
| Δημιουργός≠ | Kerlinger, F. N. (ex post facto basis); simulation integration drawn from computational social science (Axelrod, Epstein, 1990s) | Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. |
| Τύπος≠ | Non-experimental observational design with computational augmentation | Robustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation |
| Θεμελιώδης πηγή≠ | Kerlinger, F. N. (1964). Foundations of Behavioral Research. Holt, Rinehart and Winston. link ↗ | Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗ |
| Εναλλακτικές ονομασίες≠ | simulation-enhanced causal-comparative design, ex post facto with simulation, retrospective simulation design, SAEPF design | — |
| Συναφείς≠ | 4 | 0 |
| Σύνοψη≠ | Simulation-assisted ex post facto design is a non-experimental observational approach in which the researcher examines already-occurred events or conditions using existing records and then supplements the empirical analysis with computational simulation to approximate counterfactual scenarios that cannot be observed in reality. The design retains the retrospective, naturalistic character of classic ex post facto research while leveraging agent-based, Monte Carlo, or system-dynamics simulation to address the inherent confound limitations of purely archival work. | MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result. |
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