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| Αξιολόγηση Πολιτικής με Εργαλειακές Μεταβλητές× | Μέθοδος Εργαλειακών Μεταβλητών (IV) για Αιτιώδη Συμπερασματολογία× | |
|---|---|---|
| Πεδίο≠ | Αιτιακή Συμπερασματολογία | Οικονομικά της Υγείας |
| Οικογένεια≠ | Regression model | Process / pipeline |
| Έτος προέλευσης≠ | 1996 (modern policy-evaluation framing); IV roots 1920s | 1990s (modern applications) |
| Δημιουργός≠ | Angrist, Imbens & Rubin (canonical 1996 JASA framework); foundational IV roots in Wright (1928) and Theil (1953) | Angrist & Pischke (applied econometrics); rooted in econometric theory |
| Τύπος≠ | Quasi-experimental causal inference / IV regression | Method |
| Θεμελιώδης πηγή≠ | Angrist, J. D., Imbens, G. W., & Rubin, D. B. (1996). Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 91(434), 444-455. DOI ↗ | Angrist, J. D., & Pischke, J. S. (2009). Mostly Harmless Econometrics: An Empiricist's Companion. Princeton: Princeton University Press. link ↗ |
| Εναλλακτικές ονομασίες | IV policy evaluation, 2SLS policy analysis, natural-experiment IV, policy IV estimation | IV, two-stage least squares, TSLS, causal estimation |
| Συναφείς≠ | 5 | 3 |
| Σύνοψη≠ | Instrumental Variables (IV) estimation for policy evaluation is a quasi-experimental technique that uses an exogenous instrument — a variable that shifts exposure to a policy but is otherwise unrelated to the outcome — to recover the causal effect of a program or intervention from non-experimental data. Popularised in policy research by Angrist, Imbens, and Rubin (1996), it identifies the Local Average Treatment Effect (LATE) among units whose treatment status is changed by the instrument. | Instrumental variables (IV) is an econometric method to estimate causal effects when treatment or exposure is not randomly assigned and confounding is severe or unmeasured. IV relies on a third variable (instrument) that influences treatment but does not directly affect the outcome, allowing researchers to isolate the causal effect from the noise of confounding. Developed extensively in econometrics (Angrist & Pischke, 1990s–2000s), IV methods are increasingly used in health economics and health services research to leverage natural experiments and policy changes. |
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