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Εκτιμητής Επιβίωσης Kaplan-Meier×Μοντέλο Lee-Carter×
ΠεδίοΑνάλυση ΕπιβίωσηςΔημογραφία
ΟικογένειαSurvival analysisRegression model
Έτος προέλευσης19581992
ΔημιουργόςKaplan, E. L. & Meier, P.Ronald Lee & Lawrence Carter
ΤύποςNon-parametric survival estimatorStochastic mortality forecasting model
Θεμελιώδης πηγήKaplan, E. L. & Meier, P. (1958). Nonparametric Estimation from Incomplete Observations. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 53(282), 457–481. DOI ↗Lee, R. D., & Carter, L. R. (1992). Modeling and forecasting U.S. mortality. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87(419), 659–671. DOI ↗
Εναλλακτικές ονομασίεςproduct-limit estimator, km curve, kaplan-meier sağkalım analiziLC Model, Lee-Carter Mortality Model, Singular Value Decomposition Mortality Model, Lee-Carter Ölümlülük Modeli
Συναφείς22
ΣύνοψηThe Kaplan-Meier estimator, introduced by Kaplan and Meier in 1958, is a non-parametric method that estimates the survival curve — the probability of remaining event-free over time — from right-censored time-to-event data. The log-rank test is the companion procedure used to compare survival curves between groups.The Lee-Carter model is a stochastic framework for modeling and forecasting age-specific mortality rates, introduced by Ronald Lee and Lawrence Carter in their landmark 1992 paper. It decomposes the logarithm of age-specific death rates into an age pattern of mortality, a time-varying index of mortality level, and an age-specific sensitivity of that index, then forecasts the time index using ARIMA time-series methods to generate probabilistic mortality projections.
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ScholarGateΣύγκριση μεθόδων: Kaplan-Meier · Lee-Carter Model. Ανακτήθηκε στις 2026-06-19 από https://scholargate.app/el/compare