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Θεωρία Πιστοληπτικότητας×Μοντέλο Κατανομής Απωλειών×
ΠεδίοΑναλογιστική ΕπιστήμηΑναλογιστική Επιστήμη
ΟικογένειαRegression modelRegression model
Έτος προέλευσης19672012
ΔημιουργόςHans BühlmannKlugman, Panjer & Willmot
ΤύποςWeighted linear blend of individual and collective experienceParametric probability model
Θεμελιώδης πηγήBühlmann, H. (1967). Experience rating and credibility. ASTIN Bulletin, 4(3), 199–207. DOI ↗Klugman, S. A., Panjer, H. H., & Willmot, G. E. (2012). Loss Models: From Data to Decisions (4th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1-118-31532-3
Εναλλακτικές ονομασίεςBühlmann Credibility, Experience Rating, Linear Credibility Estimator, Güvenilirlik TeorisiSeverity-Frequency Model, Aggregate Loss Model, Claim Size Distribution Model, Hasar Dağılımı Modeli
Συναφείς33
ΣύνοψηCredibility Theory is an actuarial framework for estimating the pure premium of an individual risk by blending its own observed loss experience with the collective (portfolio) mean. Introduced by Hans Bühlmann in 1967, the method derives the optimal linear combination—the credibility-weighted premium—that minimises mean squared error. It extends classical experience rating to a rigorous statistical footing rooted in Bayesian and linear estimation principles.A Loss Distribution Model is a parametric statistical framework used in actuarial science to characterise the probabilistic behaviour of insurance claim amounts and frequencies. Developed comprehensively by Klugman, Panjer, and Willmot in their foundational text Loss Models: From Data to Decisions (first edition 1998, fourth edition 2012), these models underpin premium rating, reserving, reinsurance pricing, and regulatory capital calculations across the insurance and risk-management industries.
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ScholarGateΣύγκριση μεθόδων: Credibility Theory · Loss Distribution Model. Ανακτήθηκε στις 2026-06-18 από https://scholargate.app/el/compare