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| Bayesian Instrumental Variables (Bayesian IV)× | Μπεϋζιανή Διαφορές-σε-Διαφορές× | |
|---|---|---|
| Πεδίο | Αιτιακή Συμπερασματολογία | Αιτιακή Συμπερασματολογία |
| Οικογένεια | Regression model | Regression model |
| Έτος προέλευσης≠ | 2003 | 2015-2023 |
| Δημιουργός≠ | Kleibergen & Zivot (2003); Lancaster (2004) | Li & Marchand (formal Bayesian DiD framework); Brodersen et al. (Bayesian causal inference in time series) |
| Τύπος≠ | Causal inference / Bayesian estimation | Bayesian causal inference / panel regression |
| Θεμελιώδης πηγή≠ | Kleibergen, F., & Zivot, E. (2003). Bayesian and classical approaches to instrumental variable regression. Journal of Econometrics, 114(1), 29-72. DOI ↗ | Li, F., & Marchand, J. (2023). Bayesian inference for difference-in-differences. Econometrics Journal, 26(3), 509-529. link ↗ |
| Εναλλακτικές ονομασίες | Bayesian IV, Bayesian 2SLS, Bayesian LIML, BayesIV | Bayesian DiD, Bayes DiD, Bayesian diff-in-diff, Bayesian panel causal estimator |
| Συναφείς≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Σύνοψη≠ | Bayesian Instrumental Variables combines the instrumental variable strategy for addressing endogeneity with Bayesian posterior inference. Instead of relying on asymptotic sampling distributions, it places prior distributions over all structural parameters and recovers a full posterior distribution for the causal effect, providing probability statements about the parameter rather than p-values — especially valuable when instruments are weak or the sample is small. | Bayesian Difference-in-Differences applies Bayesian statistical inference to the classic DiD design, replacing frequentist point estimates with full posterior distributions over the treatment effect. This yields not only an estimate of the causal effect but also a coherent probability statement about its magnitude and uncertainty, making it especially useful when sample sizes are modest or informative prior knowledge is available. |
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