Method evidence record

Peace Duration Analysis

Peace duration analysis applies survival (time-to-event) methods to study how long peace lasts after a conflict ends and what makes it endure or collapse. The unit is the post-conflict peace spell, observed from a settlement or cessation until conflict recurs or the observation is censored. Modeling the hazard that peace fails as a function of how the conflict ended and the structural conditions — as in Hartzell and Hoddie's (2003) study of power-sharing after civil war — reveals which arrangements, such as institutionalized power sharing or peacekeeping, lengthen the survival of peace.

Evidence statusSources recorded, not reviewedBibliographic sources are present. Claim-level evidence review has not been performed.

Source record

Recorded

Citations copied verbatim from the method’s source record. No claim-level verification is inferred from them.

Survival Analysis of the Duration of Peace after Conflict

Taxonomic method recordsurvivalinternational-relations

Open full method1 recorded citation, copied from the method source record.

Curated claims

Assessed

Claims persisted in the evidence ledger, each with its own assessment.

No curated claims yet

This view does not invent a claim assessment when the ledger has none.

Related methods

Suggested3

Generated from the method graph and shown as machine-suggested relations. No evidence claim is inferred.