Time series sequential Monte Carlo
Time series sequential Monte Carlo (SMC), commonly called the particle filter, is a Bayesian simulation method that tracks the hidden state of a dynamical system as observations arrive one at a time. A cloud of weighted random samples — particles — is propagated forward through the system dynamics, reweighted by how well each particle explains the new observation, and periodically resampled to keep the representation concentrated on plausible states.
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- Gordon, N. J., Salmond, D. J., & Smith, A. F. M. (1993). Novel approach to nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian state estimation. IEE Proceedings F — Radar and Signal Processing, 140(2), 107–113. · DOI 10.1049/ip-f-2.1993.0015
- Doucet, A., de Freitas, N., & Gordon, N. (Eds.). (2001). Sequential Monte Carlo Methods in Practice. Springer. · ISBN 978-0387951461
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