Foresight Scenario Method
The scenario method constructs a small set of internally consistent, plausible stories about how the future might unfold, built from the key driving forces and critical uncertainties facing a decision. Rather than forecasting one expected future, it deliberately develops several contrasting futures so that strategies can be tested against a range of possibilities and decision-makers can rehearse responses to what might otherwise be surprises.
Kilderegistrering
Citater kopieret ordret fra metodens kilderegistrering. Ingen påstandsniveauverifikation er udledt heraf.
- Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. · URL
- Varum, C. A., & Melo, C. (2010). Directions in scenario planning literature – a review of the past decades. Futures, 42(4), 355-369. · DOI 10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.021
Kuraterede påstande
Påstande gemt i bevis-loggen, hver med sin egen vurdering.
Denne visning opfinder ikke en påstandsvurdering, når loggen ingen har.
Relaterede metoder
Genereret fra metodegrafen og vist som maskinelt foreslåede relationer — ingen bevispåstand er udledt.