Protective Action Decision Model
The Protective Action Decision Model (PADM), developed by Michael Lindell and Ronald Perry, is a multistage behavioral framework explaining how people at risk decide whether and how to protect themselves when warned of an environmental hazard. Synthesizing decades of disaster warning-response research, PADM traces a chain from environmental and social cues and warning messages, through predecisional processes of exposure, attention, and comprehension, to three core perceptions — of the threat, of the candidate protective actions, and of the social stakeholders involved. These perceptions drive a structured decision sequence — identifying the risk, assessing it, searching for and evaluating protective actions, and selecting a response — that, together with situational facilitators and impediments, determines the behavioral outcome. The 2012 statement refined the model and connected it to applications including risk communication design, hazard-adjustment adoption, and evacuation modeling.
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- Lindell, M. K., & Perry, R. W. (2012). The Protective Action Decision Model: Theoretical Modifications and Additional Evidence. Risk Analysis, 32(4), 616-632. · DOI 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2011.01647.x
- Lindell, M. K. (2008). EMBLEM2: An empirically based large scale evacuation time estimate model. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 42(1), 140-154. · DOI 10.1016/j.tra.2007.06.014
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