Real-Time Delphi
Real-Time Delphi is a roundless, asynchronous, computer-mediated reinvention of the classic Delphi method, developed by Theodore Gordon and Adam Pease in 2006. Where conventional Delphi proceeds through discrete questionnaire rounds — collect, aggregate, redistribute, repeat — Real-Time Delphi collapses the rounds entirely: experts log in to an online platform whenever they choose, see the panel's current aggregate estimates and the rationales behind them, and revise their own answers continuously, with the aggregate updating live as they do. This always-on feedback architecture preserves the core Delphi virtues of anonymity and structured feedback while removing the long delays, fixed schedules, and administrative burden of round-based administration. As described by Gordon and Pease and catalogued in the Millennium Project's Futures Research Methodology, the method makes large, distributed, and time-pressured expert elicitations practical, letting a panel converge through continuous interaction rather than through a rigid sequence of rounds.
سجل المصدر
تم نسخ الاستشهادات حرفيًا من سجل مصدر المنهج. لا يُستدل على أي تحقق على مستوى الادعاء منها.
- Gordon, T., & Pease, A. (2006). RT Delphi: An efficient, round-less almost real time Delphi method. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 73(4), 321-333. · DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2005.09.005
- Glenn, J. C., & Gordon, T. J. (Eds.). (2009). Futures Research Methodology, Version 3.0. The Millennium Project. · ISBN 9780981894119
الادعاءات المنسقة
تم حفظ الادعاءات في دفتر الأستاذ الخاص بالأدلة، ولكل منها تقييمها الخاص.
هذه الواجهة لا تخترع تقييمًا للادعاء عندما لا يكون دفتر الأستاذ يحتوي على واحد.
المنهجيات ذات الصلة
تم إنشاؤها من الرسم البياني للمنهج وتظهر كعلاقات مقترحة آليًا - لا يُستدل على أي ادعاء دليل.